Chorley

4 - 1

Southport

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.