Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Chorley
28.22% ( -0.53)	26.16% ( -0.1)	45.61% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.81% (

0.11)

53.19% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.24% (

0.09)

74.76% (

-0.1)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

-0.35)

33.67% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67% (

-0.38)

70.33% (

0.38)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

0.34)

23.26% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81% (

0.5)

57.19% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Southport 28.23%

Chorley 45.6%

Draw 26.16%

Southport	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.23%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.6%