Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor Town	Draw	Southport
50.78% ( -3.69)	24.13% ( 0.6)	25.09% ( 3.09)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

0.51)

47% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

0.47)

69.24% (

-0.46)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

-1.19)

18.53% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.24% (

-2.06)

49.76% (

2.07)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

3.03)

32.89% (

-3.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

3.23)

69.46% (

-3.22)

Score Analysis

Spennymoor Town 50.78%

Southport 25.09%

Draw 24.13%

Spennymoor Town	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.9) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.72) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.4) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.78%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.09%