Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Banbury United	Draw	Spennymoor Town
34.92% ( -0.66)	27.05% ( 0.15)	38.02% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 50.66% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.35% (

-0.66)

54.65% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.02% (

-0.55)

75.98% (

0.55)

Banbury United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25% (

-0.74)

29.75% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.18% (

-0.9)

65.82% (

0.9)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

-0.02)

27.88% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51% (

-0.02)

63.49% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Banbury United 34.92%

Spennymoor Town 38.02%

Draw 27.05%

Banbury United	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.92%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.02%