Spennymoor

1 - 4

Tamworth

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.