National League North
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Brackley Town1 - 0Chorley
Calder (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-5 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
65
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Curzon Ashton (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
81
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
42.57% ( -0.2) | 27.76% ( 0.14) | 29.67% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( -0.48) | 58.5% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( -0.37) | 79.08% ( 0.37) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( -0.33) | 27.18% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% ( -0.43) | 62.59% ( 0.43) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( -0.2) | 35.38% ( 0.2) |