National League North | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Brackley Town1 - 0Alfreton
Carline (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
67
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
45.72% | 26.94% ( -0) | 27.34% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.4% ( 0) | 56.6% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% ( 0) | 77.57% ( -0.01) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0) | 24.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( 0) | 59.24% ( -0.01) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.8% | 36.2% ( -0.01) |