National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Brackley Town2 - 0Hereford
Roberts (12'), Lilley (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 0-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Hereford United |
50.24% ( -0.02) | 25.58% ( 0) | 24.18% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0) | 53.63% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.86% ( -0) | 75.13% ( -0) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( -0.01) | 21.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( -0.01) | 54.35% ( 0.01) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.7% ( 0.01) | 37.3% ( -0.01) |