Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Chorley
41.12% ( 0.43)	25.8% ( -0.09)	33.08% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19% (

0.32)

49.8% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

0.29)

71.81% (

-0.29)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

0.36)

23.97% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

0.52)

58.21% (

-0.51)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

-0.05)

28.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67% (

-0.07)

64.33% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 41.12%

Chorley 33.08%

Draw 25.8%

Hereford United	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.12%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.08%