La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid2 - 0Atletico
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.
We said: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid will be confident of putting a 10th straight victory on the board this weekend, and we were initially leaning towards a home success here. Atletico tend to pick up results when they need it the most, though, and we just have a feeling that Simeone's side will do enough to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 52.73% | 24.63% | 22.63% |
| Both teams to score 50.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
