Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional1 - 2Maritimo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Maritimo |
| 34.07% | 28.97% | 36.96% |
| Both teams to score 44.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.24% | 61.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.44% | 81.56% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% | 33.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.39% | 70.61% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% | 32.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 34.06%
Maritimo 36.96%
Draw 28.96%
| Nacional | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.96% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Maritimo
Nacional
53.6%Draw
28.6%Maritimo
17.9%28
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2020 8.30pm
Nov 10, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-0
Maritimo
Feb 20, 2017 8pm
Sep 16, 2016 8.30pm
Form Guide
