Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
21.31% | 24.79% | 53.9% |
Both teams to score 48.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% | 53.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% | 74.88% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.1% | 39.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.44% | 76.56% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.26% | 19.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.22% | 51.78% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.31% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 12.78% 0-2 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.78% Total : 53.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |