Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Jan 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 21.31% | 24.79% | 53.9% |
| Both teams to score 48.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% | 53.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% | 74.88% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.1% | 39.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.44% | 76.56% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% | 19.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.22% | 51.78% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 21.31%
Sporting Lisbon 53.89%
Draw 24.79%
| Nacional | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.31% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 12.78% 0-2 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.78% Total : 53.89% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon
Nacional
7.2%Draw
9.4%Sporting Lisbon
83.3%138
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2016 9pm
Form Guide
