Sporting Lisbon

2 - 2

Porto

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.