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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Milan logo

Spezia
1 - 2
AC Milan

Verde (80')
Sala (25'), Nikolaou (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maldini (48'), Diaz (86')
Maldini (58'), Hernandez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
21.38%21.98%56.63%
Both teams to score 57.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55%41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15%63.85%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91%33.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31%69.69%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53%14.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56%42.43%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 21.39%
    AC Milan 56.63%
    Draw 21.98%
SpeziaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.66%
1-0 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 2.93%
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.39%
1-1 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 5.47%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-1 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.95%
1-3 @ 6.38%
0-3 @ 5.77%
2-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 3.08%
0-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.7%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 56.63%

How you voted: Spezia vs AC Milan

Spezia
5.8%
Draw
9.1%
AC Milan
85.1%
121
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Spezia
2-0
AC Milan
Maggiore (56'), Bastoni (67')
Vignali (23'), Bastoni (25'), Erlic (58')

Dalot (65')
Oct 4, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
3-0
Spezia
Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')
Jan 15, 2014 5pm
Round Five
AC Milan
3-1
Spezia
Robinho (28'), Pazzini (31'), Honda (47')
Honda (18'), Mexes (44')
Ferrari (90')
Catellani (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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