Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 26, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
4 - 2
Bologna

Bonifazi (1' og.), Pinamonti (32'), Bajrami (54' pen.), Ricci (90')
Henderson (34'), Pinamonti (67')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Barrow (11'), Arnautovic (77')
Vignato (24'), Orsolini (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Bologna
50.01%	23.8%	26.18%

Both teams to score 56.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33%

44.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97%

67.03%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06%

17.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24%

48.76%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.03%

Score Analysis

Empoli 50.01%

Bologna 26.18%

Draw 23.8%

Empoli	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.01%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 6.59% 0-1 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.18%