Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
4 - 0
Lazio

Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Napoli, who will pay an emotional tribute to club icon Diego Maradona to mark the anniversary of his death last year, have unquestionably been rocked by recent results, but can bounce back quickly to beat the Biancocelesti. Their supremacy in this fixture and on home soil, allied to Lazio's porous rearguard, means that they can come out on top in a battle of Serie A's southern giants; paying appropriate tribute to their eternal number 10. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lazio
65.14%	19.49%	15.37%

Both teams to score 54.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.08%

39.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.72%

62.28%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.5%

11.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.62%

36.38%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2%

38.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46%

75.53%

Score Analysis

Napoli 65.13%

Lazio 15.37%

Draw 19.49%

Napoli	Draw	Lazio
2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.12% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.13%	1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.68% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.49%	1-2 @ 4.33% 0-1 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.37%