Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Pepsi Arena, Warsaw
Legia1 - 4Napoli
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Napoli |
| 27.37% | 21.95% | 50.68% |
| Both teams to score 64.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% | 34.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.04% | 56.96% |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% | 24.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.57% | 59.43% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% | 14.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.2% | 41.8% |
| Score Analysis |
Legia Warsaw 27.37%
Napoli 50.68%
Draw 21.95%
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 6.66% 1-0 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.37% | 1-1 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 4.25% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.68% |
How you voted: Legia vs Napoli
Legia Warsaw
11.4%Draw
7.0%Napoli
81.6%228
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2015 8.05pm
