MX23RW : Monday, March 17 06:35:52| >> :600:104528:104528:
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Pepsi Arena, Warsaw
Napoli logo

Legia
1 - 4
Napoli

Madatov (10')
Jedrzejczyk (68'), Miszta (73'), Pesqueira (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zielinski (51' pen.), Mertens (75' pen.), Lozano (79'), Ounas (90')
Elmas (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Legia Warsaw and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawNapoli
27.37%21.95%50.68%
Both teams to score 64.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.03%34.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.04%56.96%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.43%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86%14.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2%41.8%
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 27.37%
    Napoli 50.68%
    Draw 21.95%
Legia WarsawDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 6.66%
1-0 @ 4.89%
2-0 @ 3.41%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 27.37%
1-1 @ 9.57%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 3.51%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-1 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 6.1%
0-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 4.25%
1-4 @ 2.99%
0-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 2.08%
1-5 @ 1.17%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 50.68%

How you voted: Legia vs Napoli

Legia Warsaw
Draw
Napoli
Legia Warsaw
11.4%
Draw
7.0%
Napoli
81.6%
228
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Napoli
3-0
Legia
Insigne (76'), Osimhen (80'), Politano (90+5')
Jesus (13'), Manolas (44')

Johansson (73')
Dec 10, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
Napoli
5-2
Legia
Chalobah (32'), Insigne (39'), Callejon (57'), Mertens (65', 90')
Strinic (55'), Chalobah (89')
Vranjes (62'), Prijovic (92')
Oct 1, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
Legia
0-2
Napoli

Rzezniczak (44')
Mertens (53'), Higuain (84')
rhs 2.0
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