Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%).
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
40.62% | 23.85% | 35.53% |
Both teams to score 61.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% | 40.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% | 62.67% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% | 20.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% | 52.35% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% | 22.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.78% | 56.21% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.05% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-1 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Napoli | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Fiorentina | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 32 |
6 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
12 | Empoli | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
15 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 18 |
17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 16 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |