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Europa League
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Luzhniki Stadium
Napoli logo

Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
Napoli

Sobolev (3' pen., 28')
Litvinov (14'), Sobolev (88'), Promes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elmas (64')
Koulibaly (78'), Spalletti (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Spartak Moscow and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Spartak Moscow 0-2 Napoli

 While Vitoria's men managed to pull off a surprise win in Naples, we cannot see the same outcome happening on Wednesday. Spalletti's men should have too much quality for their hosts, and, given the two sides' form this season so far, they boast far more momentum and will be fighting to keep hold of top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawNapoli
22.09%24.2%53.71%
Both teams to score 50.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81%50.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85%72.15%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66%37.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87%74.13%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38%18.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09%49.91%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 22.09%
    Napoli 53.7%
    Draw 24.2%
Spartak MoscowDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.57%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 22.09%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 11.68%
0-2 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 5.42%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.7%

How you voted: Spartak Moscow vs Napoli

Spartak Moscow
17.0%
Draw
11.3%
Napoli
71.6%
141
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2021 5.45pm
Group Stage
Napoli
2-3
Spartak Moscow
Elmas (1'), Osimhen (90+4')
Di Lorenzo (45+8'), Koulibaly (65'), Fabian (78'), Manolas (85')
Rui (29')
Promes (55', 90'), Ignatov (80')
Ponce (43'), Litvinov (45+1'), Sobolev (45+8'), Caufriez (65'), Lucas (77'), Vitoria (86'), Maximenko (89'), Umyarov (90+10')
Caufriez (82')
> Preview
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