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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Monza

Atalanta
5 - 2
Monza

Koopmeiners (12', 45+1', 79'), Hojlund (74'), Muriel (90+2')
Piero Gasperini (0'), Toloi (64')
Piero Gasperini (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Colpani (51'), Petagna (81')
Rovella (33'), Izzo (63')
Santos (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Monza

All competitions
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Monza

 Given Atalanta are rarely convincing on home soil and Monza have proved themselves solid when hitting the road, a share of the spoils is on the cards. The visitors recruited well last summer and have forged a fearless mentality; in many ways, following in the footsteps of their hosts - Serie A's serial overachievers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
59.53% (0.729 0.73) 22.28% (0.189 0.19) 18.19% (-0.916 -0.92)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-2.251 -2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-2.177 -2.18)47.27% (2.177 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-2.053 -2.05)69.5% (2.055 2.06)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (-0.49900000000001 -0.5)15.49% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (-0.938 -0.94)44.39% (0.939 0.94)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (-2.295 -2.3)39.79% (2.296 2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-2.182 -2.18)76.46% (2.184 2.18)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 59.52%
    Monza 18.19%
    Draw 22.28%
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.83 0.83)
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.52%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.543 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.19%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Monza

Atalanta BC
75.6%
Draw
17.1%
Monza
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 5
Monza
0-2
Atalanta
Hojlund (57'), Santos (65' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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