Monza

1 - 2

Bologna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.