Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 0
Bologna

Malinovskyi (13'), Vitinha (59')
Leali (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Azzouzi (56'), Castro (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 3-3 Juventus
Monday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

With all due respect to Genoa and the promising Gudmundsson, Bologna should not endure a similar defensive catastrophe akin to the one in their Juventus draw, and staunch defensive displays on the road have been easy for Motta's men to come by. Facing a Grifone side who already have their toes in the sand, Bologna can draw first blood and bolt the back doors shut to end the season on a positive note, while surely securing third spot in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Bologna
31.11% ( -0.06)	27.96% ( -0.05)	40.93% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.23% (

0.15)

58.77% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.71% (

0.12)

79.29% (

-0.12)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55% (

0.03)

34.45% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84% (

0.04)

71.16% (

-0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8% (

0.13)

28.2% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

0.17)

63.9% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Genoa 31.11%

Bologna 40.92%

Draw 27.96%

Genoa	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 31.11%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.92%