League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Carlisle

Martin (34'), Sinclair (51')
Hunt (22'), Thomas (50'), Marquis (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vela (16')
Neal (56'), Armstrong (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Cambridge
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Carlisle United

Having lost seven of their last 10 matches, Bristol Rovers will be relishing facing the worst team in the division on recent form. We can envisage them cutting loose with a few goals and a comfortable victory. Carlisle have lost seven successive games and appear doomed for an instant return to League Two, but they are likely to stick with club legend Simpson after defying the odds to reach this level of the footballing pyramid in the first place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Carlisle United has a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it is 0-1 (6.03%).

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
55.75% ( -0.03)	23% ( 0.01)	21.25% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.62% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

0.01)

46.14% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

0.01)

68.44% (

-0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

-0.01)

16.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.98% (

-0.01)

46.02% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.12% (

0.03)

35.88% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.34% (

0.03)

72.65% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 55.75%

Carlisle United 21.25%

Draw 22.99%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.75%	1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.25%