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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Barnsley

Powell (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley

Burton's recent form has been extremely poor, and they have only managed to triumph in six of their 19 home league matches this season. Barnsley are the second-best side on the road and are currently on a three-match winning run away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
20.55% (-0.287 -0.29) 22.95% (0.327 0.33) 56.51% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-1.499 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-1.779 -1.78)46.8% (1.782 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-1.685 -1.69)69.06% (1.688 1.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-1.301 -1.3)36.96% (1.305 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-1.318 -1.32)73.74% (1.322 1.32)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)16.35% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-1.163 -1.16)45.97% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 20.55%
    Barnsley 56.5%
    Draw 22.95%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.55%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.58 0.58)
0-2 @ 9.91% (0.314 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.5%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Barnsley
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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