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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Barnsley

Powell (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley

Burton's recent form has been extremely poor, and they have only managed to triumph in six of their 19 home league matches this season. Barnsley are the second-best side on the road and are currently on a three-match winning run away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
20.55% (-0.287 -0.29) 22.95% (0.327 0.33) 56.51% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-1.499 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-1.779 -1.78)46.8% (1.782 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-1.685 -1.69)69.06% (1.688 1.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-1.301 -1.3)36.96% (1.305 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-1.318 -1.32)73.74% (1.322 1.32)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)16.35% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-1.163 -1.16)45.97% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 20.55%
    Barnsley 56.5%
    Draw 22.95%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.55%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.58 0.58)
0-2 @ 9.91% (0.314 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.5%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
Draw
Barnsley
Burton Albion
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Barnsley
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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