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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Port Vale


Nsiala (28'), Hamer (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Loft (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Port Vale

Both teams will be gunning for victory as they look to boost their survival hopes, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
37.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 49.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04%55.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.54% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.6%
    Port Vale 35%
    Draw 27.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Port Vale

Burton Albion
37.7%
Draw
41.5%
Port Vale
20.8%
53
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Burton Albion
0-2
Port Vale

Lubala (15'), Hamer (18')
Massey (31'), Cass (82')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-0
Burton Albion
Smith (18')
Sweeney (2'), Oshilaja (43'), Powell (45'), Walker (64')
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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