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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
16.62% ( -0.16) | 21.38% ( -0.1) | 62% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 50.64% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.99% ( 0.15) | 46.01% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.69% ( 0.14) | 68.32% ( -0.13) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.08% ( -0.12) | 40.92% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( -0.11) | 77.49% ( 0.12) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% ( 0.14) | 14.29% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.92% ( 0.26) | 42.08% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.62% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 61.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |