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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
16.62% ( -0.16) | 21.38% ( -0.1) | 62% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 50.64% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.99% ( 0.15) | 46.01% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.69% ( 0.14) | 68.32% ( -0.13) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.08% ( -0.12) | 40.92% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( -0.11) | 77.49% ( 0.12) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% ( 0.14) | 14.29% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.92% ( 0.26) | 42.08% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.62% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 61.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |