League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Lincoln

Moon (6'), Oshilaja (17'), Brayford (20'), Powell (45+1'), Sweeney (49'), Bola (67'), Kamwa (74'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hackett (54')
Mitchell (23'), House (90+3'), Sorensen (90+6')
Mitchell (29')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 0-0 Lincoln City

Both of these teams prefer to soak up possession before hitting their opponents in transition, meaning that they may struggle to adapt to taking the game to each other on Saturday. They were both involved in 0-0 stalemates last weekend, and we would not be surprised to see another one play out at Pirelli Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Lincoln City
38.41% ( 0.49)	28.87% ( 0.18)	32.72% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 44.98% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.43% (

-0.68)

61.57% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.58% (

-0.51)

81.42% (

0.51)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

-0.04)

31.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.65% (

-0.05)

67.35% (

0.05)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0.83)

34.78% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-0.88)

71.51% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 38.41%

Lincoln City 32.72%

Draw 28.85%

Burton Albion	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 38.41%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 32.72%