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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln City

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Lincoln


Moon (6'), Oshilaja (17'), Brayford (20'), Powell (45+1'), Sweeney (49'), Bola (67'), Kamwa (74'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hackett (54')
Mitchell (23'), House (90+3'), Sorensen (90+6')
Mitchell (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-0 Lincoln City

Both of these teams prefer to soak up possession before hitting their opponents in transition, meaning that they may struggle to adapt to taking the game to each other on Saturday. They were both involved in 0-0 stalemates last weekend, and we would not be surprised to see another one play out at Pirelli Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
38.41% (0.494 0.49) 28.87% (0.175 0.18) 32.72% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.43% (-0.681 -0.68)61.57% (0.681 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.58% (-0.509 -0.51)81.42% (0.511 0.51)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)31.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)67.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.828 -0.83)34.78% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.885 -0.88)71.51% (0.886 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 38.41%
    Lincoln City 32.72%
    Draw 28.85%
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.79% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Lincoln

Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Lincoln City
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Lincoln
0-1
Burton Albion

Erhahon (80')
Mandroiu (55')
Burroughs (58' og.)
Powell (26'), Hughes (53'), Sweeney (55'), Baah (81')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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