MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 10:11:16| >> :600:285890:285890:
Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Wigan logo

Carlisle
0 - 2
Wigan

FT(HT: 0-2)
Stones (7' pen.), Olakigbe (24')
Smith (32'), Thomas (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Carlisle United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Wigan Athletic

Not only do Wigan have sufficient firepower to ease past their lower-league opponents, but they also boast one of the meanest back lines in English football. The Latics should secure a lead and then see out victory, as they kick-start their EFL Trophy campaign at Carlisle's expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wigan Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wigan Athletic.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
28.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 24.5% (0.483 0.48) 47.03% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-1.574 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-2.104 -2.1)46.1% (2.1 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-2.017 -2.02)68.4% (2.015 2.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (-1.017 -1.02)29.8% (1.015 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (-1.249 -1.25)65.88% (1.246 1.25)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-1.066 -1.07)19.69% (1.064 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (-1.761 -1.76)51.69% (1.757 1.76)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 28.47%
    Wigan Athletic 47.03%
    Draw 24.49%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.427 0.43)
2-1 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.3% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 28.47%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.32 0.32)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.506 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.176 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.03%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Wigan

Carlisle United
18.6%
Draw
15.1%
Wigan Athletic
66.3%
86
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Wigan
2-0
Carlisle
Magennis (16' pen.), Morrison (36')
Clare (45+2'), Morrison (66'), Shaw (72'), Watts (90+6')

Edmondson (45+2'), Robinson (47'), Barclay (54'), Mellish (60'), Moxon (82'), Maguire (90+1')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
1-1
Wigan
Moxon (56')
Mellish (54'), Maguire (67'), Armer (83'), Lavelle (90+9')
Wyke (34')
Clare (19'), Pearce (58')
rhs 2.0
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