MX23RW : Sunday, September 15 12:06:28| >> :600:591561:591561:
Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 2
Forest U21s

Allan (88')
Neal (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gardner (31'), Whitehall (90+4')
McAdam (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Carlisle United and Nottingham Forest Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Reading U21s 0-2 Forest U21s
Friday, August 30 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Nottingham Forest Under-21s

Both scoring and stopping goals has proved a problem for Carlisle, so they may be held at home by an in-form Nottingham Forest Under-21 side looking to impress on the senior stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
47.1% (0.163 0.16) 23.2% (0.09 0.09) 29.69% (-0.259 -0.26)
Both teams to score 61.73% (-0.503 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (-0.589 -0.59)39.41% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (-0.616 -0.62)61.75% (0.613 0.61)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (-0.164 -0.16)17.04% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (-0.288 -0.29)47.2% (0.285 0.29)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.461 -0.46)25.58% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.626 -0.63)60.46% (0.623 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 47.1%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 29.69%
    Draw 23.2%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 47.1%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.69%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Forest U21s

Carlisle United
43.6%
Draw
16.4%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s
40.0%
55
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
0-2
Forest U21s

Robinson (85'), Butterworth (86'), Plange (90+7')
Powell (69'), Perry (77')
McAdam (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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