Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Dekedaha had a probability of 7.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.51%) and 0-3 (11.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Dekedaha win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.