ES Tunis
0 - 0
Al Ahly

(Al Ahly win 1-0 on aggregate)

Aholou (15'), Rodrigues (70')

Fouad (39'), Hany (39')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CAF Champions League clash between Esperance Tunis and Al Ahly, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Esperance Tunis

Last Game: Al Ahly 3-0 ES Tunis
Saturday, June 26 at 8pm in CAF Champions League

Al Ahly

Last Game: Urawa 2-4 Al Ahly
Friday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Club World Cup

We said: Esperance Tunis 1-0 Al Ahly

Both sides boast mean defences heading into Saturday's clash, which we expect to be cagey and keenly-contested. Esperance Tunis will be keen to take a lead into next week's second leg, and we fancy the hosts to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Al Ahly had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Al Ahly win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Esperance Tunis	Draw	Al Ahly
38.04%	27.98%	33.97%

Both teams to score 47.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.69%

58.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.07%

78.93%

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36%

29.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32%

65.68%

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79%

32.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3%

68.7%

Score Analysis

Esperance Tunis 38.04%

Al Ahly 33.96%

Draw 27.98%

Esperance Tunis	Draw	Al Ahly
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.04%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.96%