MX23RW : Sunday, June 16 20:50:26| >> :60:2621:2621:
CAF Champions League | Final | 2nd Leg
May 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
New Suez Stadium

Al Ahly
1 - 0
ES Tunis

Aholou (4' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aholou (20'), Miguel Azevedo Cardoso (21'), Ogbelu (86'), Ben Hmida (90+5'), Ben Hmida (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CAF Champions League clash between Al Ahly and Esperance Tunis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: ES Tunis 0-0 Al Ahly
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in CAF Champions League
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Last Game: ES Tunis 0-0 Al Ahly
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in CAF Champions League
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We said: Al Ahly 1-0 Esperance Tunis

Al Ahly and Esperance Tunis have been tough to crack at the defensive end of the pitch and we expect another cagey affair at the Cairo International Stadium. However, playing on home turf should give the Koller's men a 12th-man advantage and we see them coming away with all three points with their home supporters cheering them on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ahly in this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawEsperance Tunis
61.96% (0.012 0.01) 24.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 13.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 37.62% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.59% (-0.101 -0.1)60.41% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.45% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)80.55% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)19.37% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.83% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)51.17% (0.052 0.05)
Esperance Tunis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.66% (-0.113 -0.11)53.34% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.14% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)86.86% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 61.95%
    Esperance Tunis 13.96%
    Draw 24.08%
Al AhlyDrawEsperance Tunis
1-0 @ 16.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 13.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 10.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.96%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs ES Tunis

Al Ahly
100%
Draw
0.0%
Esperance Tunis
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 8pm
Final 1st Leg
ES Tunis
0-0
Al Ahly
Aholou (15'), Rodrigues (70')
Fouad (39'), Hany (39')
Jun 26, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Al Ahly
3-0
ES Tunis
Maaloul (38' pen.), Sherif (56'), El Shahat (60')
Mohamed (15')

Chetti (36')
Jun 19, 2021 6pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
ES Tunis
0-1
Al Ahly
Sherif (67')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark10101
2 Slovenia Slovenia10101
3 England flag England00000
4 Serbia Serbia00000

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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