MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 12:20:56| >> :60:14:14:
Club World Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Dec 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Urawa
2 - 4
Al Ahly

Kante (43'), Scholz (54' pen.)
Linssen (55'), Kante (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ibrahim (19'), Tau (25'), Koizumi (60' og.), Maaloul (90+8')
Rabia (90+5'), Maaloul (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Club World Cup clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Al Ahly, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 0-3 Man City
Tuesday, December 19 at 6pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Al Ahly
Monday, December 18 at 6pm in Club World Cup

We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 1-2 Al Ahly (after extra time)

A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams could be on the cards on Friday, one that may even go beyond 90 minutes, but considering Al Ahly's wealth of experience at this stage as well as their recent form in all competitions, we believe that the Egyptian side will find a way to outscore Urawa en route to claiming the bronze medal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAl Ahly
36.65% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 25.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 37.54% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.046999999999997 0.05)49.35% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.043000000000003 0.04)71.4% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (0.048000000000002 0.05)25.67% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (0.065000000000005 0.07)60.58% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 36.65%
    Al Ahly 37.54%
    Draw 25.81%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAl Ahly
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Loser Match 5 vs Loser Match 4

Loser Match 5
23.3%
Draw
33.3%
Loser Match 4
43.3%
30
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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