Club World Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Feb 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Al Ahly2 - 4Flamengo
Abdelkader (37', 60')
Abdelmonem (30'), Attia (58'), Fathi (75'), Hany (90+12'), El Shahat (90+13')
Abdelfattah (69')
Abdelmonem (30'), Attia (58'), Fathi (75'), Hany (90+12'), El Shahat (90+13')
Abdelfattah (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 2-3 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, February 7 at 7pm in Club World Cup
Tuesday, February 7 at 7pm in Club World Cup
We said: Al Ahly 1-2 Flamengo
Flamengo would have expected to have been in the final due to the strength of their side, and it will be interesting to see what type of reaction there is from the Brazilian side here. Al Ahly deserve a lot of respect, and this should be a close match, but we are backing Flamengo to secure the victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahly | Draw | Flamengo |
| 23.44% | 24.77% | 51.78% |
| Both teams to score 50.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% | 51.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% | 72.98% |
| Al Ahly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% | 36.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.62% | 73.38% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% | 19.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.24% | 51.75% |
| Score Analysis |
Al Ahly 23.44%
Flamengo 51.77%
Draw 24.77%
| Al Ahly | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.44% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 11.71% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.17% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.84% Total : 51.77% |
How you voted: Al Ahly vs Flamengo
Al Ahly
50.0%Draw
9.4%Flamengo
40.6%32
Form Guide
