CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 15, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
Costa Rica0 - 1Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Costa Rica 2-1 Panama
This feels like a real 50-50 clash with Costa Rica much improved since their last showdown with Panama. Having build up a head of steam during qualifying, we are backing the home side to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Panama |
45.49% ( -0.01) | 24.41% ( 0) | 30.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
