MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:57:16| >> :60:25:25:
Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Costa Rica
3 - 0
Guadeloupe

Calvo (49'), Lassiter (76'), Madrigal (81')
Calvo (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roussillon (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Costa Rica and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America
All competitions
Last Game: Guadeloupe 5-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Costa Rica 3-0 Guadeloupe

Guadeloupe were impressive in League B a year ago, but Costa Rica boast many more talented players than they faced in 2023, and we expect the Guadeloupeans will learn a hard lesson on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Costa Rica in this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawGuadeloupe
24.7% (-0.857 -0.86) 24.54% (0.222 0.22) 50.75% (0.631 0.63)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-1.566 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.92% (-1.662 -1.66)49.08% (1.658 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (-1.522 -1.52)71.15% (1.518 1.52)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-1.615 -1.62)34.34% (1.612 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95% (-1.764 -1.76)71.05% (1.761 1.76)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.39399999999999 -0.39)19.34% (0.391 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.65 -0.65)51.12% (0.646 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 24.7%
    Guadeloupe 50.75%
    Draw 24.54%
Costa RicaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.172 0.17)
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-0 @ 3.79% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.7%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 10.91% (0.6 0.6)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.96% (0.384 0.38)
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.91% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.75%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Guadeloupe

Costa Rica
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Guadeloupe
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2021 2am
rhs 2.0
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