World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Kirani James National Stadium
Grenada0 - 3Costa Rica
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-2 Grenada
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Colombia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Grenada 1-3 Costa Rica
There is a big difference between competing and winning, and for as well as Grenada have played at times when facing experienced CONCACAF opponents, they have lacked a killer instinct, which we believe will hurt them against a vastly improved Costa Rican side under Alfaro. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Grenada win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
Result | ||
Grenada | Draw | Costa Rica |
17.75% ( -0.51) | 19.43% ( -0.3) | 62.83% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 59.93% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% ( 0.57) | 34.96% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.06% ( 0.63) | 56.94% ( -0.63) |
Grenada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( -0.2) | 32.93% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( -0.22) | 69.5% ( 0.23) |
Costa Rica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.34% ( 0.38) | 10.66% ( -0.38) |