We said: Grenada 0-2 Suriname
The FIFA rankings may not always be an indication of the superiority of one side over another, but Suriname being 31 places above Grenada seems justified, given how each have performed in CONCACAF competitions of late.
Not only have Suriname put together stronger showings when compared to Grenada, but they look like a much more balanced team both defensively and in the attack, so we believe they will have the upper hand on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenada win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Suriname had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenada win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Suriname win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.