Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade de Franceville
Gabon1 - 5Morocco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Gabon
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Gabon 1-2 Morocco
While Morocco will be playing for pride, the stakes are high for Gabon, who sit just four points above third-placed Central African Republic heading into the final two qualifying games. Mouyouma's men are much improved since losing against Morocco in September's reverse fixture, but given the gulf in quality and class between the two nations, we fancy the Atlas Lions to claim all three points and maintain their perfect record in the qualifiers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Morocco |
29.5% ( -0.27) | 28.73% ( -0.23) | 41.76% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.11% ( 0.67) | 61.89% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.34% ( 0.49) | 81.65% ( -0.5) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( 0.16) | 37.36% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.85% ( 0.16) | 74.14% ( -0.16) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.61) | 29.24% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.8% ( 0.75) | 65.19% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
Gabon 29.49%
Morocco 41.76%
Draw 28.73%
| Gabon | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.76% |
How you voted: Gabon vs Morocco
Gabon
16.7%Draw
18.5%Morocco
64.8%54
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
Oct 15, 2019 8pm
