CAR0 - 4Morocco
Ngoma (15')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 12 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Central African Republic 0-3 Morocco
It is difficult to see how Central African Republic can avoid defeat given the strong form of Morocco. It would not be surprising if the hosts once again generated numerous chances and emerged as comfortable victors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Morocco |
32.39% ( -1.58) | 28.72% ( 0.21) | 38.89% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.31% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.87% ( -0.96) | 61.12% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.91% ( -0.72) | 81.09% ( 0.72) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( -1.61) | 34.78% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.49% ( -1.73) | 71.51% ( 1.73) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.34) | 30.52% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.25% ( 0.41) | 66.75% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.2% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.71% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.88% |
