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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Lesotho national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
Gabon national football team

Lesotho
0 - 2
Gabon


Rasethuntsa (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Babicka (55'), Junior Effaghe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Lesotho and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Lesotho
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Gabon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Lesotho
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Lesotho 1-1 Gabon

 Without Aubameyang leading the line, Gabon could struggle to finish many of their chances in front of goal, and it would not be surprising if the visitors failed to score more than once. If Lesotho are as defensively resilient as they were in their previous encounter with Gabon, it is plausible that they can earn their second point of their qualifying campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.

Result
LesothoDrawGabon
27.98% (-1.177 -1.18) 29.39% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05) 42.63% (1.223 1.22)
Both teams to score 41.93% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.5% (-0.253 -0.25)64.5% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.46% (-0.179 -0.18)83.54% (0.179 0.18)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.95% (-1.112 -1.11)40.05% (1.112 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (-1.031 -1.03)76.7% (1.031 1.03)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (0.572 0.57)30.05% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (0.682 0.68)66.18% (-0.682 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Lesotho 27.98%
    Gabon 42.63%
    Draw 29.39%
LesothoDrawGabon
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 27.98%
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 12.03% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.39%
0-1 @ 14.47% (0.36 0.36)
0-2 @ 8.7% (0.349 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 42.63%

How you voted: Lesotho vs Gabon

Lesotho
30.0%
Draw
30.0%
Gabon
40.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Gabon
0-0
Lesotho
Toloane (17'), Malakia Sefoli (41'), Mats'oele (44'), Makhele (53'), Makateng (71'), Moerane (90+3'), Lebokollane (90+9')
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