Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 85.35%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Dekedaha had a probability of 3.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.52%) and 1-0 (14.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.65%), while for a Dekedaha win it was 0-1 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.