Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Gor Mahia had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.06%) and 0-3 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Gor Mahia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.