Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
38.54% ( -0.02) | 25.08% ( -0) | 36.38% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.95% ( 0.02) | 46.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.64% ( 0.01) | 68.35% ( -0.02) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( -0) | 23.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -0) | 57.71% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% ( 0.02) | 59.36% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |