Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Chicago Fire |
52.44% ( -2.96) | 21.96% ( 1.34) | 25.6% ( 1.63) |
Both teams to score 62.74% ( -3.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.4% ( -4.85) | 36.6% ( 4.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.25% ( -5.49) | 58.75% ( 5.49) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( -2.51) | 14.15% ( 2.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.19% ( -5.16) | 41.81% ( 5.17) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( -1.44) | 26.93% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% ( -1.93) | 62.26% ( 1.94) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 1.07) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.5) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.51) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.57) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.33) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.48) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.37) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 1.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.85) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |