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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jul 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Chicago Fire

Earthquakes
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Lopez (49')
Lopez (62'), Skahan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Czichos (24'), Acosta (37'), Herbers (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire will be licking their lips as they welcome the challenge of a floundering San Jose Earthquakes side who have picked up just one point in their last nine league games. Off the back of a hard-fought win over Philadelphia, we fancy the Men in Red to secure all three points at PayPal Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
49.27% (-0.399 -0.4) 22.92% (-0.093 -0.09) 27.81% (0.49 0.49)
Both teams to score 61.35% (0.752 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.68% (0.807 0.81)39.31% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.34% (0.84 0.84)61.65% (-0.842 -0.84)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.157 0.16)16.2% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (0.28599999999999 0.29)45.69% (-0.288 -0.29)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (0.759 0.76)26.79% (-0.761 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (0.99 0.99)62.07% (-0.992 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 49.27%
    Chicago Fire 27.81%
    Draw 22.91%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.098 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.095 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.81%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire

San Jose Earthquakes
15.4%
Draw
30.8%
Chicago Fire
53.8%
39
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2022 2am
Earthquakes
2-1
Chicago Fire
Kikanovic (47', 87')
Marie (63'), Kikanovic (73'), Lopez (75')
Gutierrez (90+5')
Mueller (27'), Gimenez (43')
Aug 6, 2020 1am
May 18, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 15
Earthquakes
4-1
Chicago Fire
Wondolowski (21', 48', 74', 76')
Espinoza (54')
Katai (83')
Kappelhof (41'), Corrales (63'), Calvo (86'), Katai (95')
Jun 3, 2018 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Chicago Fire
2-1
Earthquakes
Gordon (29'), Katai (49')
Corrales (57')
Hoesen (74')
Alashe (45'), Ockford (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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