Los Angeles6 - 2Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles are the most in-form side in the MLS right now and have been almost invincible on home soil. With San Jose's struggles this year, we see nothing but victory for the hosts in this affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
73.24% ( 0.98) | 15.41% ( -0.41) | 11.36% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.45) | 29.72% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.15% ( 0.54) | 50.85% ( -0.54) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.01% ( 0.29) | 6.99% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.78) | 25.6% ( -0.78) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.6) | 37.85% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.37% ( -0.59) | 74.63% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.09)6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.24% | 1-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.41% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.7% Total : 11.36% |
