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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Espinoza (8', 83' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bouanga (30')
Bogusz (29'), Maldonado (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, May 3 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Los Angeles FC

 San Jose Earthquakes have struggled in recent matches and now face an LAFC side who are coming off the back of reaching the CONCACAF Champions League final. The visitors will be fully confident of extending their unbeaten league run to nine matches, and we see them doing just that at Levi's Stadium on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
38.66% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 25.69% (-0.023 -0.02) 35.65% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (0.109 0.11)48.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.099 0.1)70.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)24.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)59.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.116 0.12)61.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 38.66%
    Los Angeles FC 35.65%
    Draw 25.69%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.66%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Los Angeles

San Jose Earthquakes
20.0%
Draw
32.0%
Los Angeles FC
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')
Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 39
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 35
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
Aug 9, 2021 12am
gameweek 24
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Cardoso (11'), Lopez (28')
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
Yueill (39' og.)
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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