Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
72.34% ( -0.16) | 16.5% ( 0.08) | 11.16% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.02% ( -0.12) | 35.98% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.93% ( -0.13) | 58.07% ( 0.13) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.32% ( -0.06) | 8.68% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.1% ( -0.16) | 29.9% ( 0.16) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.43% ( 0.07) | 42.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( 0.06) | 78.92% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 72.33% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.5% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |