Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
39.86% | 22.71% | 37.42% |
Both teams to score 66.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.62% | 34.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.7% | 56.29% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% | 17.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% | 48.74% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% | 19.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% | 50.57% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
2-1 @ 8.36% 1-0 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.02% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 2.2% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.08% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 44 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 44 |
6 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 37 |
9 | DC United | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
10 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 35 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 34 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 29 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 52 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 19 |